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Red161
803377.4
97258.5
592429.4
Blue199
541962.7
1020237.0
550764.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167161100150200250300161199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
10Coral scored#12
52Coral points58
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +38
15Coral scored#24
53Coral points87
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
77Total teleop115
Reef
8L4#16
7L3#7
4L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
161Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.40.1
73.673.7
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
red by 13.1
64.31.0
61.762.6
Auto19.3
Teleop37.1
End7.9
Second
972
#4
58.50.1
54.754.7
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End9.3
blue by 4.2
62.71.0
60.161.1
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End8.8
Third
5924
#15
29.40.1
29.329.4
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End3.2
blue by 7.6
37.01.0
34.435.3
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End1.3