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Red167
414141.2
699585.1
420145.8
Blue177
519977.8
119762.8
427087.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16424350100200300350167177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +7
22Coral scored#18
80Coral points63
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#7
18Processor points30
16Net points28
34Algae points58
114Total teleop121
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#4
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
167Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#11
85.10.5
73.473.9
Auto18.8
Teleop56.2
End10.1
blue by 1.9
87.03.0
81.978.9
Auto15.7
Teleop61.8
End9.4
Second
4201
#42
45.80.5
38.539.0
Auto9.3
Teleop28.6
End7.8
blue by 32.0
77.83.0
77.174.1
Auto9.9
Teleop53.6
End14.3
Third
4141
#19
41.20.5
45.045.5
Auto6.8
Teleop27.7
End6.7
blue by 21.5
1197
#15
62.83.0
60.257.2
Auto18.4
Teleop37.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned