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Red182
927130.2
49872.9
29479.6
Blue154
715755.4
744721.2
212270.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18212850100150200250182154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+16Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points37
41Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +12
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#8
12Processor points12
36Net points32
48Algae points44
113Total teleop101
Reef
10L4#10
6L3#5
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
12Foul points12
182Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#9
79.60.7
75.676.3
Auto17.0
Teleop52.9
End9.7
red by 8.7
2122
#12
70.91.5
63.064.5
Auto14.6
Teleop48.3
End7.9
Second
498
#3
72.90.7
60.761.4
Auto15.0
Teleop47.9
End10.0
red by 17.5
55.41.5
40.842.3
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End8.1
Third
9271
#25
30.20.8
23.123.9
Auto2.5
Teleop22.7
End5.0
red by 9.0
7447
#34
21.21.5
15.817.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed