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Red164
183632.5
347672.0
656053.6
Blue119
473881.2
961518.1
461917.0
88%Model gave it12%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159104050200250164119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +47
22Coral scored#14
79Coral points52
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
113Total teleop66
Reef
12L4#5
5L3#8
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
2Foul points0
164Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.01.6
49.951.5
Auto14.0
Teleop50.1
End8.0
blue by 9.2
81.21.7
65.667.3
Auto24.6
Teleop45.5
End11.2
Second
6560
#33
53.61.6
45.447.0
Auto11.8
Teleop33.2
End8.5
red by 35.5
9615
#40
18.11.9
18.220.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End3.1
Third
1836
#41
32.51.6
42.744.3
Auto6.6
Teleop21.7
End4.2
red by 15.5
4619
#35
17.01.9
10.212.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned