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Red132
114831.6
39938.3
704247.0
Blue265
359100.6
927130.2
940881.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105243050150200300350132265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+44
Teleop+133
Endgame+133
Fouls+133
AutonomousBlue +44
6Leave9
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points41
6Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +89
16Coral scored#28
56Coral points99
4Processor algae#9
5Net algae#9
24Processor points54
20Net points36
44Algae points90
100Total teleop189
Reef
6L4#12
4L3#10
3L2#10
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#54
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +133
0Foul points0
132Total score265

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#23
47.00.4
40.540.1
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End9.3
blue by 53.6
359
#1
100.62.2
94.596.7
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
Second
399
#32
38.30.4
36.435.9
Auto6.9
Teleop26.3
End5.1
blue by 42.9
81.22.2
85.087.2
Auto17.2
Teleop54.5
End9.5
Third
1148
#21
31.60.4
33.833.3
Auto7.7
Teleop19.2
End4.7
red by 1.4
9271
#25
30.22.2
23.926.1
Auto2.5
Teleop22.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned