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Red116
312857.9
420145.8
330941.3
Blue108
580537.1
715755.4
961518.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15293050200250116108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +22
22Coral scored#15
78Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
94Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#6
8L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
116Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#10
57.91.0
46.145.1
Auto8.8
Teleop38.2
End10.8
red by 2.5
55.41.1
42.343.3
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End8.1
Second
4201
#42
45.81.0
39.038.0
Auto9.3
Teleop28.6
End7.8
red by 8.6
5805
#27
37.11.1
29.630.7
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
Third
3309
#20
41.31.0
45.544.5
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End6.8
red by 23.2
9615
#40
18.11.1
20.121.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed