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Red204
715755.4
119762.8
359100.6
Blue132
427633.5
473881.2
271037.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221122050100150200250300350204132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
9Coral scored#7
47Coral points37
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +46
25Coral scored#14
89Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
125Total teleop79
Reef
14L4#7
7L3#7
8L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
6Foul points0
204Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
100.60.2
94.294.4
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
red by 19.3
81.20.8
64.865.6
Auto24.6
Teleop45.5
End11.2
Second
1197
#15
62.80.2
60.060.2
Auto18.4
Teleop37.1
End7.3
red by 25.6
2710
#18
37.20.8
27.328.1
Auto5.6
Teleop25.4
End6.2
Third
55.40.2
40.640.8
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End8.1
red by 21.9
4276
#39
33.50.8
27.928.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned