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Qual 212025 Beach Blitz presented by the Gene Haas Foundation
Red161
325556.4
414141.2
441572.5
Blue106
945239.5
432262.5
427633.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208105050150250300161106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+31Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +35
22Coral scored#15
78Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
112Total teleop77
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#5
2L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#25
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
161Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#17
72.51.1
81.2→80.1
Auto14.3
Teleop49.8
End8.4
red by 10.0
4322
#22
62.50.1
42.1→42.0
Auto12.7
Teleop48.7
End1.1
Second
3255
#24
56.41.1
50.8→49.7
Auto7.3
Teleop42.9
End6.3
red by 16.9
9452
#30
39.50.1
37.8→37.7
Auto5.7
Teleop29.2
End4.5
Third
4141
#19
41.21.1
45.5→44.4
Auto6.8
Teleop27.7
End6.7
red by 7.8
4276
#39
33.50.1
27.9→27.8
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
65%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed