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Red109
364745.4
68735.1
461917.0
Blue178
427087.0
852122.0
212270.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592060100150250300350109178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
21Coral scored#22
74Coral points79
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
88Total teleop103
Reef
11L4#8
4L3#7
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
6Foul points36
109Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#26
45.42.1
28.931.0
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End0.8
blue by 41.6
87.02.0
78.976.9
Auto15.7
Teleop61.8
End9.4
Second
687
#31
35.12.1
30.432.5
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End7.3
blue by 35.7
2122
#12
70.92.0
64.562.6
Auto14.6
Teleop48.3
End7.9
Third
4619
#35
17.02.1
12.114.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 5.0
8521
#37
22.02.0
28.126.2
Auto5.2
Teleop16.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned