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Red212
432262.5
852122.0
347672.0
Blue153
927130.2
519977.8
723041.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126156050100200250300212153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+77Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
9Leave6
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
50Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +43
26Coral scored#16
92Coral points59
6Processor algae#3
7Net algae#9
36Processor points18
28Net points36
64Algae points54
156Total teleop113
Reef
10L4#7
11L3#3
9L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
212Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.04.8
55.660.4
Auto14.0
Teleop50.1
End8.0
blue by 5.8
77.80.4
76.476.0
Auto9.9
Teleop53.6
End14.3
Second
4322
#22
62.54.8
42.046.8
Auto12.7
Teleop48.7
End1.1
red by 21.3
7230
#14
41.20.4
39.138.6
Auto11.9
Teleop26.9
End2.5
Third
8521
#37
22.04.8
26.231.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.7
End0.1
blue by 8.3
9271
#25
30.20.4
26.125.7
Auto2.5
Teleop22.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned