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Red173
59953.3
940881.2
699585.1
Blue183
580537.1
271037.2
212270.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24612550100150200300350400173183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+12Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points27
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +5
21Coral scored#26
74Coral points93
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
112Total teleop117
Reef
10L4#15
9L3#6
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
173Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#11
85.12.7
78.075.3
Auto18.8
Teleop56.2
End10.1
red by 14.2
2122
#12
70.94.0
62.666.5
Auto14.6
Teleop48.3
End7.9
Second
81.22.7
87.284.5
Auto17.2
Teleop54.5
End9.5
red by 44.0
2710
#18
37.24.0
30.234.2
Auto5.6
Teleop25.4
End6.2
Third
599
#29
53.32.7
48.145.4
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End0.7
red by 16.1
5805
#27
37.14.0
30.734.7
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned