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Red146
945239.5
39938.3
715755.4
Blue105
441955.0
183632.5
461917.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301170200300400500146105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+21Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points16
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +25
20Coral scored#16
71Coral points56
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
105Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#6
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
146Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.41.9
43.345.3
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End8.1
red by 0.4
4419
#16
55.00.1
47.347.2
Auto10.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Second
9452
#30
39.51.9
37.739.6
Auto5.7
Teleop29.2
End4.5
red by 7.0
1836
#41
32.50.1
45.145.0
Auto6.6
Teleop21.7
End4.2
Third
399
#32
38.31.9
35.937.9
Auto6.9
Teleop26.3
End5.1
red by 21.3
4619
#35
17.00.1
14.214.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed