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Red279
359100.6
427087.0
414141.2
Blue174
271037.2
927130.2
441955.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259102050150200300350400279174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+95Teleop
+105Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
40Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +74
38Coral scored#32
137Coral points115
4Processor algae#2
13Net algae#3
24Processor points12
52Net points12
76Algae points24
213Total teleop139
Reef
21L4#11
13L3#10
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
61Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
0Foul points0
279Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
100.61.1
98.399.4
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
red by 45.6
4419
#16
55.01.5
47.248.7
Auto10.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Second
87.01.1
80.281.3
Auto15.7
Teleop61.8
End9.4
red by 49.8
2710
#18
37.21.5
34.235.7
Auto5.6
Teleop25.4
End6.2
Third
4141
#19
41.21.1
39.840.9
Auto6.8
Teleop27.7
End6.7
red by 11.0
9271
#25
30.21.5
25.727.2
Auto2.5
Teleop22.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned