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Red157
347672.0
961518.1
441572.5
Blue206
715755.4
940881.2
49872.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16921350100150250300350157206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+43
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +34
20Coral scored#23
71Coral points83
3Processor algae#4
2Net algae#6
18Processor points24
8Net points24
26Algae points48
97Total teleop131
Reef
9L4#13
9L3#5
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points6
157Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#17
72.50.4
80.480.0
Auto14.3
Teleop49.8
End8.4
blue by 8.7
81.20.2
84.584.7
Auto17.2
Teleop54.5
End9.5
Second
72.00.4
60.460.0
Auto14.0
Teleop50.1
End8.0
blue by 0.9
498
#3
72.90.2
67.067.2
Auto15.0
Teleop47.9
End10.0
Third
9615
#40
18.10.4
22.422.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End3.1
blue by 37.3
55.40.2
45.345.5
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned