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Red179
427633.5
119762.8
656053.6
Blue219
29479.6
312857.9
59953.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133181050100150200250300179219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
7Coral scored#9
34Coral points44
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +36
20Coral scored#29
71Coral points105
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
18Processor points24
24Net points20
42Algae points44
113Total teleop149
Reef
6L4#18
9L3#10
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
179Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#15
62.83.3
59.262.5
Auto18.4
Teleop37.1
End7.3
blue by 16.8
294
#9
79.63.6
72.876.4
Auto17.0
Teleop52.9
End9.7
Second
6560
#33
53.63.3
47.250.5
Auto11.8
Teleop33.2
End8.5
blue by 4.3
3128
#10
57.93.6
46.750.3
Auto8.8
Teleop38.2
End10.8
Third
4276
#39
33.53.3
23.126.4
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End5.4
blue by 19.8
599
#29
53.33.6
45.449.0
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned