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Qual 362025 Beach Blitz presented by the Gene Haas Foundation
Red195
114831.6
359100.6
271037.2
Blue163
519977.8
420145.8
183632.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197173100150250195163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+18Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave0
5Coral scored#7
26Coral points33
35Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +16
26Coral scored#20
94Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
130Total teleop114
Reef
8L4#8
12L3#11
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#36
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points0
195Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
100.60.5
99.4→98.9
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
red by 22.8
5199
#7
77.81.6
75.8→74.2
Auto9.9
Teleop53.6
End14.3
Second
2710
#18
37.20.5
35.7→35.2
Auto5.6
Teleop25.4
End6.2
blue by 8.6
4201
#42
45.81.6
42.2→40.7
Auto9.3
Teleop28.6
End7.8
Third
1148
#21
31.60.5
33.9→33.5
Auto7.7
Teleop19.2
End4.7
blue by 0.9
1836
#41DQ
32.51.6
41.5→40.0
Auto6.6
Teleop21.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned