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Red105
39938.3
414141.2
68735.1
Blue232
265942.1
347672.0
473881.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114197050150250300350105232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+117
Endgame+127
Fouls+127
AutonomousBlue +42
9Leave0
0Coral scored#10
0Coral points51
9Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +75
17Coral scored#24
62Coral points85
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#13
6Processor points18
12Net points52
18Algae points70
80Total teleop155
Reef
8L4#13
3L3#11
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +127
0Foul points0
105Total score232

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4141
#19
41.20.4
40.039.6
Auto6.8
Teleop27.7
End6.7
blue by 40.0
81.24.0
76.280.2
Auto24.6
Teleop45.5
End11.2
Second
399
#32
38.30.4
36.436.0
Auto6.9
Teleop26.3
End5.1
blue by 33.8
72.04.0
61.465.3
Auto14.0
Teleop50.1
End8.0
Third
687
#31
35.10.4
34.534.1
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End7.3
blue by 6.9
2659
#28
42.14.0
35.139.1
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned