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Red190
519977.8
940881.2
265942.1
Blue178
704247.0
656053.6
715755.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22314850100200250300350190178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+24Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
32Coral scored#22
115Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
143Total teleop112
Reef
9L4#11
12L3#5
6L2#5
8L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
190Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.7
86.385.6
Auto17.2
Teleop54.5
End9.5
red by 25.8
55.42.1
49.151.2
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End8.1
Second
77.80.7
74.974.2
Auto9.9
Teleop53.6
End14.3
red by 24.2
6560
#33
53.62.1
54.556.6
Auto11.8
Teleop33.2
End8.5
Third
2659
#28
42.10.7
39.138.4
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End1.7
blue by 4.9
7042
#23
47.02.1
43.245.3
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned