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Red152
927130.2
420145.8
622020.3
Blue177
723041.2
461917.0
427087.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97162050200250300152177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+35
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +14
23Coral scored#19
81Coral points67
4Processor algae#4
3Net algae#10
24Processor points24
12Net points40
36Algae points64
117Total teleop131
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#7
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
152Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#42
45.82.4
40.743.1
Auto9.3
Teleop28.6
End7.8
blue by 41.2
87.01.4
82.784.1
Auto15.7
Teleop61.8
End9.4
Second
9271
#25
30.22.4
29.031.4
Auto2.5
Teleop22.7
End5.0
blue by 11.0
7230
#14
41.21.4
34.836.3
Auto11.9
Teleop26.9
End2.5
Third
6220
#38
20.32.4
19.321.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.8
End3.2
red by 3.3
4619
#35
17.01.4
14.015.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned