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Qual 522025 Beach Blitz presented by the Gene Haas Foundation
Red141
312857.9
39938.3
744721.2
Blue188
364745.4
359100.6
723041.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106201050150250300141188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+26
Teleop+57
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +26
3Leave9
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points47
30Total auto56
TeleoperatedBlue +31
16Coral scored#22
57Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
85Total teleop116
Reef
8L4#15
7L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
141Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#10
57.92.1
52.1→54.2
Auto8.8
Teleop38.2
End10.8
blue by 42.7
359
#1
100.60.5
100.1→100.6
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
Second
399
#32
38.32.1
36.0→38.1
Auto6.9
Teleop26.3
End5.1
blue by 7.1
3647
#26
45.40.5
40.9→41.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End0.8
Third
7447
#34
21.22.1
18.6→20.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End2.4
blue by 20.0
7230
#14
41.20.5
36.3→36.8
Auto11.9
Teleop26.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned