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Red205
622020.3
473881.2
427087.0
Blue193
945239.5
212270.9
441572.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207197160180220240260205193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave0
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points23
50Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
21Coral scored#30
75Coral points108
6Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
36Processor points12
28Net points24
64Algae points36
139Total teleop144
Reef
8L4#10
10L3#8
6L2#11
6L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
205Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.01.1
84.185.2
Auto15.7
Teleop61.8
End9.4
red by 14.5
4415
#17
72.50.5
76.176.6
Auto14.3
Teleop49.8
End8.4
Second
81.21.1
80.281.3
Auto24.6
Teleop45.5
End11.2
red by 10.4
2122
#12
70.90.5
67.568.0
Auto14.6
Teleop48.3
End7.9
Third
6220
#38
20.31.1
21.722.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.8
End3.2
blue by 19.2
9452
#30
39.50.5
39.239.7
Auto5.7
Teleop29.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned