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Red126
325556.4
927130.2
114831.6
Blue253
68735.1
699585.1
29479.6
9%Model gave it91%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12421850100150200250300350400126253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+101
Endgame+121
Fouls+127
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points35
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +73
19Coral scored#27
70Coral points97
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#10
12Processor points30
12Net points40
24Algae points70
94Total teleop167
Reef
5L4#8
8L3#14
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +127
0Foul points6
126Total score253

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#24
56.40.4
53.052.6
Auto7.3
Teleop42.9
End6.3
blue by 28.6
6995
#11
85.12.9
78.881.7
Auto18.8
Teleop56.2
End10.1
Second
1148
#21
31.60.4
32.031.6
Auto7.7
Teleop19.2
End4.7
blue by 48.0
294
#9
79.62.9
77.980.8
Auto17.0
Teleop52.9
End9.7
Third
9271
#25
30.20.4
31.431.1
Auto2.5
Teleop22.7
End5.0
blue by 4.9
687
#31
35.12.9
34.137.0
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned