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Red213
210249.0
49872.9
441955.0
Blue135
427633.5
580537.1
420145.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194108050150250300213135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+52Teleop
+72Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points7
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
27Coral scored#20
97Coral points73
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
18Processor points18
12Net points12
30Algae points30
127Total teleop103
Reef
16L4#8
8L3#5
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#27
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
6Foul points0
213Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#3
72.92.5
71.874.3
Auto15.0
Teleop47.9
End10.0
red by 27.2
4201
#42
45.81.8
43.144.9
Auto9.3
Teleop28.6
End7.8
Second
4419
#16
55.02.5
51.253.8
Auto10.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
red by 17.9
5805
#27
37.11.8
34.936.8
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
Third
2102
#13
49.02.5
45.948.5
Auto6.3
Teleop33.8
End8.8
red by 15.5
4276
#39
33.51.8
29.531.3
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned