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Red136
59953.3
271037.2
414141.2
Blue168
330941.3
347672.0
461917.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391320100200300400136168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+18
Endgame+36
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +4
19Coral scored#24
69Coral points85
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
103Total teleop107
Reef
7L4#12
5L3#10
8L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
4Foul points0
136Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#29
53.30.4
53.453.8
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End0.7
blue by 18.7
72.02.9
65.368.2
Auto14.0
Teleop50.1
End8.0
Second
4141
#19
41.20.4
39.640.0
Auto6.8
Teleop27.7
End6.7
Level
3309
#20
41.32.9
43.646.5
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End6.8
Third
2710
#18
37.20.4
32.532.9
Auto5.6
Teleop25.4
End6.2
red by 20.2
4619
#35
17.02.9
15.518.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned