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Red104
441572.5
852122.0
656053.6
Blue265
699585.1
359100.6
704247.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16225650100200300350400104265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+26
Teleop+129
Endgame+159
Fouls+161
AutonomousBlue +26
9Leave3
4Coral scored#11
21Coral points53
30Total auto56
TeleoperatedBlue +103
14Coral scored#32
50Coral points115
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#8
6Processor points24
12Net points32
18Algae points56
68Total teleop171
Reef
7L4#12
6L3#15
2L2#9
3L1 · trough#7
22Game pieces#55
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +161
0Foul points2
104Total score265

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#17
72.53.6
76.673.0
Auto14.3
Teleop49.8
End8.4
blue by 28.1
359
#1
100.62.4
100.6103.0
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
Second
6560
#33
53.63.6
56.653.0
Auto11.8
Teleop33.2
End8.5
blue by 31.5
6995
#11
85.12.4
81.784.0
Auto18.8
Teleop56.2
End10.1
Third
8521
#37
22.03.6
24.520.9
Auto5.2
Teleop16.7
End0.1
blue by 25.0
7042
#23
47.02.4
45.347.7
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned