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Red113
68735.1
330941.3
119762.8
Blue203
39938.3
359100.6
441572.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14324250100200300350113203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+80
Endgame+90
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave6
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points44
30Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +60
12Coral scored#20
43Coral points73
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#6
12Processor points30
12Net points24
24Algae points54
67Total teleop127
Reef
5L4#12
6L3#7
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points0
113Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#15
62.82.2
64.762.5
Auto18.4
Teleop37.1
End7.3
blue by 37.8
359
#1
100.60.8
103.0102.1
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
Second
3309
#20
41.32.2
43.741.6
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End6.8
blue by 31.2
4415
#17
72.50.8
73.072.2
Auto14.3
Teleop49.8
End8.4
Third
687
#31
35.12.2
37.335.1
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End7.3
blue by 3.1
399
#32
38.30.8
39.138.3
Auto6.9
Teleop26.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned