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Red165
940881.2
427633.5
704247.0
Blue189
945239.5
364745.4
347672.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181148050100200250300350400165189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+24
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +14
19Coral scored#27
69Coral points97
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
24Processor points18
24Net points16
48Algae points34
117Total teleop131
Reef
11L4#11
4L3#13
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points12
165Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.1
82.882.8
Auto17.2
Teleop54.5
End9.5
red by 9.2
72.01.9
68.470.3
Auto14.0
Teleop50.1
End8.0
Second
7042
#23
47.00.1
47.747.6
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End9.3
red by 1.6
3647
#26
45.41.9
41.543.4
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End0.8
Third
4276
#39
33.50.1
33.533.5
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End5.4
blue by 6.0
9452
#30
39.51.9
38.540.4
Auto5.7
Teleop29.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned