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Red101
961518.1
210249.0
183632.5
Blue160
59953.3
427087.0
927130.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111214050150250300101160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+69
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +55
11Coral scored#22
39Coral points80
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
18Processor points24
12Net points20
30Algae points44
69Total teleop124
Reef
4L4#10
4L3#6
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
101Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#13
49.01.0
48.547.4
Auto6.3
Teleop33.8
End8.8
blue by 38.0
87.01.7
85.283.5
Auto15.7
Teleop61.8
End9.4
Second
1836
#41
32.51.0
36.035.0
Auto6.6
Teleop21.7
End4.2
blue by 20.8
599
#29
53.31.7
53.852.2
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End0.7
Third
9615
#40
18.11.0
19.118.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End3.1
blue by 12.1
9271
#25
30.21.7
31.129.4
Auto2.5
Teleop22.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed