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Red160
723041.2
271037.2
715755.4
Blue117
744721.2
68735.1
325556.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129112050150200250160117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+43Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
26Coral scored#16
94Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
112Total teleop83
Reef
11L4#9
10L3#3
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points2
160Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.42.2
51.253.4
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End8.1
blue by 1.1
3255
#24
56.40.3
52.652.9
Auto7.3
Teleop42.9
End6.3
Second
7230
#14
41.22.2
36.839.0
Auto11.9
Teleop26.9
End2.5
red by 6.0
687
#31
35.10.3
37.037.3
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End7.3
Third
2710
#18
37.22.2
32.935.1
Auto5.6
Teleop25.4
End6.2
red by 16.0
7447
#34
21.20.3
20.721.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned