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Red185
29479.6
330941.3
940881.2
Blue146
420145.8
441955.0
473881.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22718350100150200250300350400185146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points37
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +28
19Coral scored#14
67Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
101Total teleop73
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#7
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
14Foul points0
185Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.22.8
85.682.8
Auto17.2
Teleop54.5
End9.5
Level
81.22.3
81.379.0
Auto24.6
Teleop45.5
End11.2
Second
294
#9
79.62.8
80.878.0
Auto17.0
Teleop52.9
End9.7
red by 24.6
4419
#16
55.02.3
53.851.5
Auto10.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Third
3309
#20
41.32.8
46.543.7
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End6.8
blue by 4.5
4201
#42
45.82.3
44.942.7
Auto9.3
Teleop28.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned