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Red149
414141.2
347672.0
580537.1
Blue89
622020.3
407924.7
364745.4
93%Model gave it7%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1688505010015020025030014989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +45
18Coral scored#11
63Coral points40
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
18Processor points12
24Net points8
42Algae points20
105Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
2Foul points0
149Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.1
68.268.4
Auto14.0
Teleop50.1
End8.0
red by 26.6
3647
#26
45.40.0
41.541.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End0.8
Second
4141
#19
41.20.1
40.040.2
Auto6.8
Teleop27.7
End6.7
red by 16.5
4079
#36
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End2.6
Third
5805
#27
37.10.1
36.836.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
red by 16.8
6220
#38
20.30.0
22.822.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed