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Red108
461917.0
119762.8
945239.5
Blue163
49872.9
114831.6
265942.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13315750100200250108163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+49
Endgame+39
Fouls+55
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points30
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +53
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points59
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
6Processor points24
8Net points16
14Algae points40
46Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#9
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
2Foul points18
108Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#15
62.81.2
65.964.7
Auto18.4
Teleop37.1
End7.3
blue by 10.2
498
#3
72.90.0
74.374.4
Auto15.0
Teleop47.9
End10.0
Second
9452
#30
39.51.2
39.738.5
Auto5.7
Teleop29.2
End4.5
blue by 2.6
2659
#28
42.10.0
38.438.4
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End1.7
Third
4619
#35
17.01.2
18.417.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 14.6
1148
#21
31.60.0
31.631.7
Auto7.7
Teleop19.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned