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Red249
699585.1
59953.3
473881.2
Blue188
441572.5
715755.4
119762.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228193150250300350249188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+57Teleop
+67Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
6Leave9
13Coral scored#6
63Coral points28
69Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +25
32Coral scored#21
116Coral points77
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#7
18Processor points24
20Net points28
38Algae points52
154Total teleop129
Reef
12L4#8
18L3#8
9L2#5
6L1 · trough#6
53Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points6
249Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#11
85.10.7
84.785.4
Auto18.8
Teleop56.2
End10.1
red by 12.6
4415
#17
72.50.2
72.572.3
Auto14.3
Teleop49.8
End8.4
Second
81.20.7
80.981.6
Auto24.6
Teleop45.5
End11.2
red by 18.5
1197
#15
62.80.2
62.762.6
Auto18.4
Teleop37.1
End7.3
Third
599
#29
53.30.7
52.953.6
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End0.7
blue by 2.1
55.40.2
55.455.2
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End8.1