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Red247
347672.0
364745.4
427087.0
Blue232
29479.6
265942.1
519977.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209208210220230240247232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+27Teleop
+17Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +27
32Coral scored#29
114Coral points105
5Processor algae#4
9Net algae#6
30Processor points24
36Net points24
66Algae points48
180Total teleop153
Reef
14L4#12
12L3#11
7L2#9
9L1 · trough#6
56Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points2
247Total score232

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.01.0
86.387.3
Auto15.7
Teleop61.8
End9.4
red by 7.4
294
#9
79.60.7
78.979.6
Auto17.0
Teleop52.9
End9.7
Second
72.01.0
71.372.3
Auto14.0
Teleop50.1
End8.0
blue by 5.8
77.80.7
77.177.8
Auto9.9
Teleop53.6
End14.3
Third
3647
#26
45.41.0
44.445.4
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End0.8
red by 3.3
2659
#28
42.10.7
41.342.1
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End1.7