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Red200
441572.5
715755.4
119762.8
Blue250
940881.2
359100.6
704247.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191252100150300350200250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+24
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave9
7Coral scored#8
33Coral points42
33Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +6
29Coral scored#36
105Coral points129
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
151Total teleop157
Reef
15L4#19
9L3#9
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#9
46Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
200Total score250

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#17
72.50.2
72.372.5
Auto14.3
Teleop49.8
End8.4
blue by 28.1
359
#1
100.60.3
101.7101.9
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
Second
1197
#15
62.80.2
62.662.8
Auto18.4
Teleop37.1
End7.3
blue by 18.4
81.20.3
82.382.6
Auto17.2
Teleop54.5
End9.5
Third
55.40.2
55.255.4
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End8.1
red by 8.4
7042
#23
47.00.3
47.147.4
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End9.3