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Red220
699585.1
59953.3
473881.2
Blue214
940881.2
359100.6
704247.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22624850100150200300350400220214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+28Teleop
+8Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
10Coral scored#6
52Coral points28
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +7
21Coral scored#21
76Coral points75
5Processor algae#4
10Net algae#10
30Processor points24
40Net points40
70Algae points64
146Total teleop139
Reef
13L4#10
9L3#7
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points2
220Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#11
85.10.0
85.485.4
Auto18.8
Teleop56.2
End10.1
blue by 15.5
359
#1
100.60.4
101.9101.5
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
Second
81.20.0
81.681.5
Auto24.6
Teleop45.5
End11.2
Level
81.20.4
82.682.1
Auto17.2
Teleop54.5
End9.5
Third
599
#29
53.30.0
53.653.6
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End0.7
red by 6.3
7042
#23
47.00.4
47.447.0
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End9.3