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Red258
940881.2
359100.6
704247.0
Blue186
325556.4
210249.0
441955.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26215350100200300350258186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+60Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points17
43Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +40
36Coral scored#23
131Coral points81
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#7
24Processor points30
24Net points28
48Algae points58
179Total teleop139
Reef
17L4#12
13L3#6
5L2#5
8L1 · trough#3
53Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
258Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
100.60.6
102.1102.7
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
red by 44.1
3255
#24
56.40.7
55.155.8
Auto7.3
Teleop42.9
End6.3
Second
81.20.6
82.883.3
Auto17.2
Teleop54.5
End9.5
red by 26.2
4419
#16
55.00.7
53.754.4
Auto10.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Third
7042
#23
47.00.6
47.648.2
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End9.3
blue by 2.0
2102
#13
49.00.7
47.748.3
Auto6.3
Teleop33.8
End8.8