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Red175
461917.0
519977.8
699585.1
Blue121
29479.6
961518.1
407924.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201118050100150250300350175121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+54Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +68
28Coral scored#14
99Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
12Processor points12
32Net points12
44Algae points24
143Total teleop75
Reef
15L4#8
6L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
175Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#11
85.10.2
84.083.9
Auto18.8
Teleop56.2
End10.1
red by 5.5
294
#9
79.60.0
78.078.0
Auto17.0
Teleop52.9
End9.7
Second
77.80.2
76.476.2
Auto9.9
Teleop53.6
End14.3
red by 53.1
4079
#36
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End2.6
Third
4619
#35
17.00.2
17.217.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 1.1
9615
#40
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned