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Red191
325556.4
210249.0
441955.0
Blue204
29479.6
265942.1
519977.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160213100200250300350191204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
26Coral scored#29
93Coral points103
6Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
36Processor points18
16Net points24
52Algae points42
145Total teleop145
Reef
12L4#15
9L3#11
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
191Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#24
56.40.7
55.856.4
Auto7.3
Teleop42.9
End6.3
blue by 23.1
294
#9
79.60.1
78.878.9
Auto17.0
Teleop52.9
End9.7
Second
4419
#16
55.00.7
54.455.0
Auto10.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
blue by 22.8
77.80.1
77.077.1
Auto9.9
Teleop53.6
End14.3
Third
2102
#13
49.00.7
48.349.0
Auto6.3
Teleop33.8
End8.8
red by 6.9
2659
#28
42.10.1
41.241.3
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End1.7