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Red163
432262.5
656053.6
312857.9
Blue188
49872.9
212270.9
420145.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182200100150250300163188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+15
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
22Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
20Coral scored#24
73Coral points87
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
115Total teleop115
Reef
6L4#8
8L3#9
5L2#9
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
163Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#22
62.50.3
62.762.5
Auto12.7
Teleop48.7
End1.1
blue by 10.5
498
#3
72.90.0
72.172.2
Auto15.0
Teleop47.9
End10.0
Second
3128
#10
57.90.3
58.157.9
Auto8.8
Teleop38.2
End10.8
blue by 13.0
2122
#12
70.90.0
70.170.1
Auto14.6
Teleop48.3
End7.9
Third
6560
#33
53.60.3
53.853.6
Auto11.8
Teleop33.2
End8.5
red by 7.8
4201
#42
45.80.0
45.045.0
Auto9.3
Teleop28.6
End7.8