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Red188
107257.1
25327.5
84170.5
Blue168
527430.3
196735.1
594079.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166162140180200188168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points27
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +1
18Coral scored#24
64Coral points85
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
112Total teleop113
Reef
7L4#8
8L3#10
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points6
188Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
70.50.7
68.769.4
Auto16.3
Teleop42.6
End11.6
blue by 8.7
79.20.4
79.980.3
Auto18.4
Teleop51.3
End9.5
Second
1072
#12
57.10.7
55.356.0
Auto16.0
Teleop32.1
End8.9
red by 21.9
1967
#26
35.10.4
35.836.2
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
Third
253
#25
27.50.7
25.726.5
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.0
blue by 2.8
5274
#23
30.30.4
29.930.3
Auto5.8
Teleop22.2
End2.3