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Red208
107257.1
25327.5
84170.5
Blue173
167891.3
196735.1
594079.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152240050100200300350400208173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+21Teleop
+39Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
9Coral scored#9
45Coral points47
48Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +20
26Coral scored#17
92Coral points60
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
12Processor points24
24Net points24
36Algae points48
128Total teleop108
Reef
13L4#9
10L3#9
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#36
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +35
8Foul points12
208Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
70.51.1
69.470.5
Auto16.3
Teleop42.6
End11.6
blue by 20.8
91.31.1
92.491.3
Auto20.6
Teleop60.9
End9.8
Second
1072
#12
57.11.1
56.057.1
Auto16.0
Teleop32.1
End8.9
blue by 22.1
79.21.1
80.379.2
Auto18.4
Teleop51.3
End9.5
Third
253
#25
27.51.1
26.527.5
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.0
blue by 7.6
1967
#26
35.11.1
36.235.1
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1