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Red64
681427.7
549916.5
545826.1
Blue104
207357.5
264337.4
801642.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98132020030040050064104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+42
Endgame+52
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +45
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
32Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
12Foul points0
64Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6814
#14
27.73.0
34.031.0
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End1.0
blue by 29.7
57.50.9
57.356.4
Auto15.8
Teleop32.8
End8.8
Second
5458
#33
26.13.0
32.029.0
Auto6.7
Teleop16.4
End3.0
blue by 15.8
42.00.9
30.830.0
Auto7.6
Teleop30.8
End3.6
Third
5499
#32
16.53.0
30.727.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.5
blue by 20.9
2643
#15
37.40.9
28.727.8
Auto3.2
Teleop32.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned