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Red107
464312.7
661945.5
581754.5
Blue172
348232.0
167891.3
167146.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116217050150250300350400107172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+61
Endgame+77
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave9
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points28
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +30
12Coral scored#19
43Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#7
12Processor points6
16Net points28
28Algae points34
71Total teleop101
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#9
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
30Foul points18
107Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#19
54.53.0
57.554.5
Auto6.9
Teleop47.2
End0.4
blue by 36.9
91.32.5
86.884.2
Auto20.6
Teleop60.9
End9.8
Second
6619
#11
45.53.0
42.939.9
Auto5.3
Teleop35.6
End4.6
blue by 1.2
1671
#16
46.72.5
53.050.4
Auto12.0
Teleop31.7
End2.9
Third
4643
#31
12.73.0
18.015.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 19.4
3482
#21
32.02.5
49.847.3
Auto6.9
Teleop23.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned