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Red94
84170.5
911417.1
940024.2
Blue86
84669.7
325730.1
605921.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411440501002002503003509486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
55Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points32
94Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
70.52.6
67.464.9
Auto16.3
Teleop42.6
End11.6
red by 0.8
846
#6
69.75.0
69.164.0
Auto15.3
Teleop45.7
End8.7
Second
9400
#35
24.22.6
37.635.0
Auto4.2
Teleop19.3
End0.7
blue by 5.9
3257
#36
30.15.0
36.030.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.4
End1.7
Third
9114
#37
17.12.6
25.523.0
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.0
blue by 4.8
6059
#34
21.95.0
24.519.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed