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Red54
318924.5
549916.5
527430.3
Blue108
84170.5
348232.0
570027.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8015605010020025030054108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+58
Endgame+66
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +44
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points34
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
0Processor points18
4Net points12
4Algae points30
20Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
12Foul points0
54Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#23
30.33.0
31.728.7
Auto5.8
Teleop22.2
End2.3
blue by 40.2
841
#4
70.52.0
64.962.8
Auto16.3
Teleop42.6
End11.6
Second
3189
#24
24.53.0
27.824.8
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End5.1
blue by 7.6
3482
#21
32.02.0
47.345.2
Auto6.9
Teleop23.0
End2.1
Third
5499
#32
16.53.0
27.724.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.5
blue by 11.4
5700
#38
27.92.0
26.324.3
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned