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Red133
107257.1
469844.8
801642.0
Blue106
661945.5
425517.4
1127446.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12474050100150200250300350133106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+11Teleop
+33Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
90Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points6
133Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#12
57.11.5
55.957.4
Auto16.0
Teleop32.1
End8.9
red by 10.9
46.22.7
20.623.3
Auto12.0
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
44.81.5
24.325.9
Auto17.6
Teleop19.5
End7.8
blue by 0.7
6619
#11
45.51.6
39.941.5
Auto5.3
Teleop35.6
End4.6
Third
42.01.5
30.031.5
Auto7.6
Teleop30.8
End3.6
red by 24.6
4255
#39
17.41.6
15.316.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed