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Red103
947036.0
76634.3
681427.7
Blue199
167891.3
213561.7
464312.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106176050150200250300350103199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+84
Endgame+96
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +32
6Leave3
3Coral scored#10
13Coral points48
19Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +52
17Coral scored#28
62Coral points102
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
76Total teleop128
Reef
9L4#12
5L3#13
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
23Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
4Foul points4
103Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9470
#10
36.01.2
40.138.9
Auto10.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
blue by 55.4
91.32.3
84.286.5
Auto20.6
Teleop60.9
End9.8
Second
766
#30
34.31.2
42.841.6
Auto3.4
Teleop25.8
End5.1
blue by 27.4
2135
#13
61.72.3
55.858.1
Auto18.2
Teleop42.0
End1.5
Third
6814
#14
27.71.2
31.029.8
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End1.0
red by 15.1
4643
#31
12.72.3
15.117.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned