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Red111
359834.0
415945.9
167146.7
Blue35
940024.2
325730.1
741931.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15711405010020025011135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+60Teleop
+64Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave3
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +33
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
65Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
7L3#1
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
12Foul points0
111Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#16
46.72.3
50.448.1
Auto12.0
Teleop31.7
End2.9
red by 15.7
7419
#28
31.04.8
40.735.9
Auto7.5
Teleop23.2
End0.2
Second
4159
#20
45.92.3
42.039.7
Auto13.0
Teleop30.8
End2.1
red by 15.9
3257
#36
30.14.8
30.926.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.4
End1.7
Third
3598
#17
34.02.3
41.038.7
Auto11.4
Teleop13.6
End9.1
red by 9.8
9400
#35
24.24.8
35.030.2
Auto4.2
Teleop19.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed