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Red78
661945.5
545826.1
325730.1
Blue169
213561.7
84669.7
681427.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9216705015020025030078169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+89
Endgame+91
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +72
11Coral scored#27
40Coral points98
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
58Total teleop130
Reef
4L4#14
4L3#11
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points0
78Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6619
#11
45.51.6
41.539.9
Auto5.3
Teleop35.6
End4.6
blue by 24.1
846
#6
69.70.6
63.764.3
Auto15.3
Teleop45.7
End8.7
Second
3257
#36
30.11.6
26.224.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.4
End1.7
blue by 31.7
2135
#13
61.70.6
58.158.7
Auto18.2
Teleop42.0
End1.5
Third
5458
#33
26.11.6
28.326.7
Auto6.7
Teleop16.4
End3.0
blue by 1.6
6814
#14
27.70.6
29.830.4
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned